Política de los EE.UU. - Trump Policy Specials (8)

Will US cease to be a full NATO member in 2025?

14/3/25 4:00

Will US leave NATO?

• Sí +900
• No -2900

According to NATO's list of states with full membership.

Trump/Zelenskyy Specials

17/3/25 1:00

Trump/Zelenskyy

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• Ukraine to hold a presidential election in 2025 EVEN
• Zelenskyy to appear on the cover of Vogue in 2025 +1500
• Zelenskyy to win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize +300
• Trump and Zelenskyy to sign a deal on minerals by the end of March 2025 -1000
• US to formally recognise any of Ukraine's territory as being part of sovereign Russia in 2025 +180
• Trump and Zelenskyy to meet in person again in March 2025 EVEN

Will there be a US recession in 2025?

24/3/25 0:00

US Recession?

• Sí +120
• No -160

Recession = two consecutive quarters of negative growth. Applies from Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 inclusive.

DOGE/Musk: No of firings/layoffs from civilian federal workforce by the end of June 2025?

1/4/25 21:00

DOGE Layoffs

• Under 300k -115
• 300k to 400k +175
• Over 400k +300

Number of layoffs and firings as estimated by AP News to have been implemented by Elon Musk and Doge department by the end of June 2025. Bets void should AP not estimate before 15th July 2025.

Will Greenland become a US state in 2025?

6/4/25 4:00

Greenland US State?

• Sí +1500
• No -6000

Applies to Greenland becoming a state within United States federal system/altering system of governance to be governed by US law under US sovereignty in 2025. Formal agreement to above within 2025 will count. Bookmaker decision final.

Will the Panama Canal come under US control in 2025?

6/4/25 17:00

Panama Canal

• Sí +350
• No -550

Applies to Panama coming under full legal and operational control of United States in 2025. Formal agreement to above within 2025 will count. Bookmaker decision final.

Who will Trump kick out of the White House next?

7/4/25 2:00

Who will Trump kick out next?

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• Elon Musk +400
• Justin Trudeau +400
• Donald Tusk +600
• Pedro Sánchez +1000
• Emmanuel Macron +1200
• JD Vance +1500
• Keir Starmer +1500
• Mark Zuckerberg +1500
• Melania Trump +1500
• Antonio Costa +2000
• Micheál Martin +2000
• Shigeru Ishiba +2000
• Some school children +2000
• Ursula von der Leyen +2000
• Dick Schoof +3000
• Evika Siliņa +3000
• Jonas Gahr Støre +3000
• Luis Montenegro +3000
• Petr Fiala +3000
• Simon Harris +3000
• Ulf Kristersson +3000
• Kim Jong Un +4000
• Vladimir Putin +4000

White House press secretary must confirm that Trump has curtailed a scheduled visit by asking person to leave early. Must happen by the end of Trump's current term Others on request.

Will Trump meet Putin by the end of April 2025?

27/4/25 4:00

Will Trump Meet Putin?

• Sí +110
• No -145

Donald Trump Sr and Vladimir Putin; Meet = in person with face to face communication as covered by national televised news.