FALKLAND ISLANDS
12/31/20265:00 AM
Donald Trump to publicly refer to Falklands as Las Malvinas
-200
Donald Trump to pledge support for Argentine sovereignty of Falklands
+800
Argentina to invade the Falkland Islands
+1000
Argentina to invade and Donald Trump to deny military support to UK
+1200
Argentina to invade and Donald Trump to aid them with military support
+1400
UK to agree to joint sovereignty
+4000
To happen before end of 2026
Proposition
Donald Trump to publicly refer to Falklands as Las Malvinas
-200
Donald Trump to pledge support for Argentine sovereignty of Falklands
+800
Argentina to invade the Falkland Islands
+1000
Argentina to invade and Donald Trump to deny military support to UK
+1200
Argentina to invade and Donald Trump to aid them with military support
+1400
UK to agree to joint sovereignty
+4000
To happen before end of 2026
American Odds